I originally bought 2x A models on e-bay. They were listed as having YLOD. Neither was fixed using this tutorial. That got me annoyed and lit a fire under my a$$ to figure out why. So I performed an exhaustive review of this thread and compiled every single reported attempt to fix a console by replacing the tokins. What I found convinced me the YLOD is a general hardware failure that requires diagnosis to fix. That was SONY's official position in it too. It's still 90% RSX issues (Such as BGA defects).
So, you are better off looking for BC models described as having some other type of problem. Avoid consoles described as having YLOD, RLOD, or GLOD. Red blinking light, doesn't turn on, etc. 90% of the time that means they need reballed.
After those first 2x consoles, I mostly bought consoles with other problems. It's harder to find one and more expensive, but the chances of fixing a console that "doesn't read disks" is much better. I got one for $75 that just needed the Blu-Ray drive reseated properly. That was a lucky find, but they are out there if you look and wait. But this is what I mean by tipping the odds in your favor.
Another trick is to look for CBEH-1000 and look at the pictures. Sometimes people think that's the model number and sell a BC model for cheap. Although, I think people are wise to this now. I'm seeing less of this.
My favorite strategy is to buy one describes as "working" or "Tested." Believe it or not, if you wait long enough, you can find them for a good deal. I got a sealed A model for $163 that doesn't even have a loud fan that would indicate bad thermal paste. I mean, if you're gonna gamble. Gamble more money on a working console. If it doesn't work, at least you can get a refund because it wasn't described correctly.
It seems like you'd get a good deal trying to fix a broken console, but everyone has that same thought and are speculating on their value ATM. It's driving the price of YLOD consoles up. In the mean time, working consoles are being ignored. You'll spend more money finding a broken console you can fix than just buying one working. Even if you have to pay $300 for one it's still half the launch price. If you look at it that way, it's not a bad deal.